Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Timofey SkatovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Timofey Skatov have met 1 time since 2026; Timofey Skatov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bailly has taken 0 sets to Skatov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Timofey Skatov won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaud Bailly | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Timofey Skatov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 12/29 | 25% | 8/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 24% | 15/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaud Bailly 0, Skatov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Skatov
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 322 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bailly | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Timofey Skatov | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 3.21 |
| ROI % | -52.5% | +17.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.20u | +2.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Skatov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Bailly's 22%).
| Opponent | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Calvin Hemery | L | W 61 63 |
| Alex Barrena | W 76 63 | L 67 26 |
| Norbert Gombos | L 64 16 46 | W 63 61 |
| Henri Squire | L 36 63 46 | L 62 46 36 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Harold Mayot | W 46 60 61 | W 64 63 |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | L 36 63 36 | W 62 62 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 16 46 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Barrena
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–63 matches
| Metric | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 48% |
| Sets won | 50% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bailly | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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