Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele PieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#337 · 21 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇮🇹Samuele Pieri
#320 · 24 yrs · R
Title5Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Samuele Pieri have met 1 time since 2026; Samuele Pieri leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bailly has taken 0 sets to Pieri's 2. Their most recent meeting: Samuele Pieri won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaud Bailly | Pieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Samuele Pieri | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 73% | 47/64 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 12/29 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 32% | 32/100 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 60% | 27/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 89% | 54/61 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 77% | 47/61 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaud Bailly 0, Pieri 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Pieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Samuele Pieri.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bailly | Pieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Samuele Pieri | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 15–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -52.5% | +31.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.20u | +7.14u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 553 mi · 890 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Pieri's 17%).
| Opponent | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | W 76 63 | L 16 36 |
| Rudolf Molleker | W 57 63 64 | L 16 64 36 |
| Kilian Feldbausch | L 26 26 | L 26 26 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | L 63 16 46 | L 26 63 16 |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | L 36 63 36 | L 75 26 36 |
| Max Wiskandt | L 57 36 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Martin Krumich
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Bari Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Vitaliy Sachko
Bari Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Laurent Lokoli
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Andrej Martin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex Barrena
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–100 matches
| Metric | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 64% |
| Sets won | 50% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bailly | Pieri |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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