Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Mikhail KukushkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#337 · 21 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 0–2

🇰🇿Mikhail Kukushkin
#358 · 38 yrs · R
17wGilles Arnaud Bailly and Mikhail Kukushkin have met 1 time since 2025; Mikhail Kukushkin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bailly has taken 0 sets to Kukushkin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mikhail Kukushkin won at Lyon (Décines-Charpieu) (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaud Bailly | Kukushkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Mikhail Kukushkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 12/29 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 22% | 10/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 91% | 21/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 87% | 20/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaud Bailly 0, Kukushkin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kukushkin
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mikhail Kukushkin.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 9, 2025
Lyon (Décines-Charpieu)
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -52.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.20u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Kukushkin's 67%).
| Opponent | Bailly | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Hynek Barton | L 36 26 | W 67 62 76 |
| Daniil Glinka | W 63 62 | L 36 36 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 76 67 62 | L 16 63 26 |
| Daniel Batista | W 75 57 62 | W 61 60 |
| Rudolf Molleker | W 57 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Adria Soriano Barrera | W 36 76 61 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Damir Dzumhur
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 2nd Round
May 6
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Coleman Wong
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Leandro Riedi
Gwangju Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Pavel Kotov
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–56 matches
| Metric | Bailly | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 56% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bailly | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bailly | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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