Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs James MackinlayPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and James Mackinlay have met 1 time since 2026; James Mackinlay leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bailly has taken 0 sets to Mackinlay's 2. Their most recent meeting: James Mackinlay won at M25 Malta (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaud Bailly | Mackinlay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | James Mackinlay | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 12/30 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 6/18 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 100% | 5/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaud Bailly 0, Mackinlay 1).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 28, 2026
M25 Malta
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Mackinlay |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 3–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 4.75 |
| ROI % | -57.8% | +375.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.20u | +11.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bailly | Mackinlay |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BEL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Mackinlay
M25 Malta · 1st Round
Oct 28
Clement Chidekh
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Alberto Bronzetti
M25 Malta · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Malta · 1st Round
Oct 28
Tadija Radovanovic
M25 Malta · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 27
Carlos Giraldi
M25 Malta · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Filippo Giovannini
M25 Malta · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Patrick Brady
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Patrick Brady
Nottingham 3 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 7
Maxwell Mckennon
Manzanillo · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–51 matches
| Metric | Bailly | Mackinlay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 83% |
| Sets won | 45% | 83% |
| Games won | 48% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bailly | Mackinlay |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bailly | Mackinlay |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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