Gianmarco Ferrari vs Leonardo BorrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นGianmarco Ferrari
#512 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0
๐ฎ๐นLeonardo Borrelli
#1267 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
6Gianmarco Ferrari and Leonardo Borrelli have met 2 times since 2026; Gianmarco Ferrari leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at M25 Milano in 2026 on clay. Ferrari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ferrari has taken 4 sets to Borrelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Gianmarco Ferrari won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferrari | Borrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianmarco Ferrari | Leonardo Borrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/24 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 24% | 8/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferrari 2, Borrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferrari
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Borrelli
๐ Pusher
Matchup analysis
The โ๏ธ The Gladiator archetype wins about 68% vs ๐ Pusher across 36 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gianmarco Ferrari.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Jun 16, 2026
M25 Milano
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferrari | Borrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianmarco Ferrari | Leonardo Borrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | 2โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 6.94 |
| ROI % | -26.4% | +65.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.38u | +7.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | ITA | POL โ SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ferrari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Borrelli's 40%).
| Opponent | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Michele Mecarelli | W 46 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | W 76 60 | L 46 26 |
| Sebastian Sorger | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 61 62 | W 62 63 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 61 62 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano ยท Semifinals
Jun 19
Giorgio Tabacco
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Milano ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Milano ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Leonardo Borrelli
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Roberto Carballes Baena
Cattolica Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 10
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Muttenz ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Bielsko Biala ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Michele Mecarelli
M15 Segrate ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Denis Yevseyev
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 12
Jonas Kucera
M15 Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M15 Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Futures 2026
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 34โ60 matches
| Metric | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 29% |
| Sets won | 57% | 33% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferrari | Borrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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