Gianluca Carlini vs Matt PonchetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianluca Carlini and Matt Ponchet have met 1 time since 2026; Gianluca Carlini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carlini has taken 2 sets to Ponchet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Gianluca Carlini won at M25 Roda de Bara (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlini | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianluca Carlini | Matt Ponchet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 3/12 | 29% | 11/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 7/7 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 5/7 | 72% | 18/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlini 1, Ponchet 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
M25 Roda de Bara
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carlini | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianluca Carlini | Matt Ponchet | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carlini | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.01 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +9.8% | -25.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | -2.77u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carlini | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Matt Ponchet
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rigele Te
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Marc Ros Mesas
Futures 2026
Jul 5
Billy Blaydes
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Billy Blaydes
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Isaac Becroft
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 17
Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ammar Elamin
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Melvin Kumar
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Gianluca Carlini
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Axel Garcian
M15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Robin Bertrand
M25 Bakio · 1st Round
Jun 23
Filip Peliwo
M15 Vaasa · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Melvin Kumar
M15 Vaasa · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–38 matches
| Metric | Carlini | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carlini | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carlini | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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