Gian Marco Ortenzi vs Marcel ZielinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Gian Marco Ortenzi
#1424 · 26 yrs · R
7w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇵🇱Marcel Zielinski
#533 · 25 yrs · R
TitleGian Marco Ortenzi and Marcel Zielinski have met 1 time since 2026; Marcel Zielinski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ortenzi has taken 0 sets to Zielinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marcel Zielinski won at M15 Messina (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marco Ortenzi | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gian Marco Ortenzi | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 59% | 30/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 8/22 | 36% | 27/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 70% | 30/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marco Ortenzi 0, Zielinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ortenzi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Zielinski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Gian Marco Ortenzi and Marcel Zielinski are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
M15 Messina
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ortenzi | Zielinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gian Marco Ortenzi | Marcel Zielinski | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 79% | 26/33 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 36% | 12/33 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 12% | 4/33 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/33 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/33 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/33 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 26–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -17.0% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | +0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 13 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | POL → GER → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ortenzi and Zielinski posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Gabrielius Guzauskas | W 62 62 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marcello Serafini
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniele Minighini
Futures 2026
Jul 13
Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Georgii Kravchenko
Futures 2026
Jun 17
Nicola Rispoli
M25 Milano · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nicola Rispoli
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Leonardo Iemmi
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Joao Silva
Futures 2026
Jun 14
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alen Mujakic
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Janis Graski
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Felix Fischer
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Felix Fischer
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–75 matches
| Metric | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ortenzi | Zielinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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