Gastao Elias vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gastao Elias and Joel Schwaerzler have met 1 time since 2026; Joel Schwaerzler leads 1–0. Across all meetings Elias has taken 1 sets to Schwaerzler's 2. Their most recent meeting: Joel Schwaerzler won at Oeiras 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elias | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gastao Elias | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 11/12 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 4/21 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 9/13 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elias 0, Schwaerzler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 13, 2026
Oeiras 3 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.08 |
| ROI % | - | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Elias | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 6,345 mi · 10,212 km |
| Route | — | POL → USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Domingues
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Carles Rojas
M25 Loulé · Round of 32
May 6
Carles Rojas
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
John Echeverria
M25 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · Round of 32
Apr 29
Ids Waterbolk
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Joel Schwaerzler
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 13
Tiago Cacao
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · 2nd Round
Feb 19
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–58 matches
| Metric | Elias | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Elias | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Elias | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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