Garrett Johns vs Tristan McCormickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 21 · 2:35 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 3.10 or longer, Tristan McCormick has won 4 of 21 (19%). The price implied 24%, so Tristan McCormick has fallen 5 points short of it.
At 1.33 or shorter, Garrett Johns has won 15 of 18 (83%). The price implied 77%, so Garrett Johns has beaten it by 6 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Garrett Johns faces Tristan McCormick in the first round of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on September 21, meeting on clay. Johns holds the 442nd ranking while McCormick sits at 707th; the two have met once before, with Johns taking that encounter.
Johns arrives with three matches played in two weeks and a 3-2 record over his last five outings. McCormick has also played three times in the same span but has dropped four of five, capped by a two-match losing streak heading into this draw. The head-to-head record stands 1-0 in Johns' favor.
On clay, Johns has compiled a 13-7 record with a 65% win rate; McCormick's clay record sits at 10-10 at 50%. Johns plays an all-court game with the flexibility to attack or defend from any part of the court, while McCormick relies on heavy hitting to set the tone. The surface will test McCormick's consistency while rewarding Johns' court movement and shot selection.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Johns | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Garrett Johns | Tristan McCormick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 8/34 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/66 | 50% | 24/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 12/30 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 8/26 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 18/30 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Johns
🎾 All-Court
McCormick
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 637 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Johns and McCormick have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Johns | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Garrett Johns | Tristan McCormick | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 67% | 16/24 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 33% | 8/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 4% | 1/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Johns | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 15–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -1.8% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.33u | -0.22u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Johns | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JAM | ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Johns has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McCormick's 25%).
| Opponent | Johns | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Goncalo Marques | W 64 75 | L 36 63 57 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | L 67 26 | W 46 76 62 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 46 26 | L 36 76 46 |
| Mats Rosenkranz | W 67 62 63 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea De Marchi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Aidan Kim
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Timo Legout
Kingston 1 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Marcello Serafini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Xavi Palomar
M25 Gijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Carlos Giraldi
M25 Gijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 2
Yaroslav Demin
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 25
Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–67 matches
| Metric | Johns | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |