Gaia Squarcialupi vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gaia Squarcialupi and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2025; Lucia Natal leads 1–0. Across all meetings Squarcialupi has taken 1 sets to Natal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Natal won at W15 Melilla 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Squarcialupi | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gaia Squarcialupi | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 2/7 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/3 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 8/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Squarcialupi 0, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Squarcialupi
👑 The Complete Package
Natal
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 741 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gaia Squarcialupi.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 5, 2025
W15 Melilla 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 4.17 |
| ROI % | - | -41.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Squarcialupi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Natal's 0%).
| Opponent | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Carola Manfredonia | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kira Pavlova
W35 Monastir · 1st Round
May 12
Carola Manfredonia
W35 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 11
Selina Dal
W15 Sharm ElSheikh 1 · 1st Round
Jan 28
Lucia Natal
W15 Melilla 1 · 2nd Round
Dec 5
Lucia Natal
W15 Melilla · Round of 16
Dec 4
Farah Heddar
W15 Melilla · Round of 32
Dec 3
Farah Heddar
W15 Melilla 1 · 1st Round
Dec 2
Natalija Senic
W35 Heraklion · Round of 32
Oct 15
Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anais Gabriel
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Carlota Vila Salles
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Noah Rojas Hernandez
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nina Radovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–26 matches
| Metric | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 12% |
| Sets won | 38% | 47% |
| Games won | 42% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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