Gaia Squarcialupi vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gaia Squarcialupi and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2025; Lucia Natal leads 1–0. Across all meetings Squarcialupi has taken 1 sets to Natal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Natal won at W15 Melilla 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Squarcialupi | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gaia Squarcialupi | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 5/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 4/11 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Squarcialupi 0, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Squarcialupi
💥 Big Hitter
Natal
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gaia Squarcialupi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 5, 2025
W15 Melilla 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 4.01 |
| ROI % | - | +122.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +6.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kira Pavlova
W35 Monastir · 1st Round
May 12
Selina Dal
W15 Sharm ElSheikh 1 · 1st Round
Jan 28
Lucia Natal
W15 Melilla 1 · 2nd Round
Dec 5
Lucia Natal
W15 Melilla · Round of 16
Dec 4
Farah Heddar
W15 Melilla · Round of 32
Dec 3
Farah Heddar
W15 Melilla 1 · 1st Round
Dec 2
Natalija Senic
W35 Heraklion · Round of 32
Oct 15
Amira Badawi
W15 Sharm ElSheikh 13 · 1st Round
Oct 1
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Elza Tomase
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Sophie Luescher
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 8
Cayetana Gay
W15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
May 13
Polona Hercog
W35 Platja d'Aro · 1st Round
May 6
Despina Papamichail
W50 Chihuahua 1 · 1st Round
Mar 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–17 matches
| Metric | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 38% |
| Sets won | 49% | 37% |
| Games won | 48% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Squarcialupi | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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