Gabriele Maria Piano vs Mustapha El NatourPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Selva Gardena
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Gabriele Maria Piano and Mustapha El Natour meet next at the M15 Selva Gardena on October 26 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Piano | El Natour | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Piano | Mustapha El Natour | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 4/6 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 16% | 4/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 8/25 | 29% | 12/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 0% | 0/1 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 4/8 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Piano
⚔️ The Gladiator
Natour
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 32 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriele Maria Piano.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Piano and Natour have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Piano | Natour | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Piano | Mustapha El Natour | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Piano | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.77 | 3.75 |
| ROI % | +33.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.99u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Natour has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Piano's 50%).
| Opponent | Piano | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Cona | W 61 62 | W 46 63 106 |
| Theo Herrmann | L 36 36 | W 67 64 107 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Cona
M15 Selva Gardena · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Riccardo Di Vita
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Dalbert Lee Barr
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Riccardo Donato Logrippo
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Leonardo Leti Messina
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Nik Mikovic
M15 Bologna · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Matteo Trombini
M15 Selva Gardena · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Nicola Senn
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Mousa Alkotop
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Medhir Goyal
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Matteo Fondriest
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Denis Rasshchupkin
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Faris Khatib
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nacho Cepeda Martinez
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–41 matches
| Metric | Piano | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 24% | 39% |
| Sets won | 31% | 38% |
| Games won | 43% | 46% |