Gabriele Maria Noce vs Stefano D'AgostinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Maria Noce and Stefano D'Agostino have met 1 time since 2026; Stefano D'Agostino leads 1–0. Across all meetings Noce has taken 0 sets to D'Agostino's 2. Their most recent meeting: Stefano D'Agostino won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | D'Agostino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Stefano D'Agostino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/73 | 29% | 13/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 3/18 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 86% | 25/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 24/38 | 79% | 23/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 0, D'Agostino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🪃 Counterpuncher
D'Agostino
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefano D'Agostino.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 8, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | D'Agostino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Stefano D'Agostino | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 20/23 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 26% | 6/23 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 63% | 12/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 10–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -25.2% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -4.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
D'Agostino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Noce's 44%).
| Opponent | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Rottoli | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Niccolò Ciavarella | W 26 63 76 | W 62 76 |
| Manuel Mazza | L 57 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Mirko Lagasio | W 63 60 | W 63 64 |
| Marko Nikolic | W 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | L 67 36 | L 36 64 16 |
| Michele Mecarelli | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Carles Cordoba | L 46 76 16 | W 57 63 60 |
| Lucio Ratti | L 16 36 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lorenzo Rottoli
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Pietro Marino
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lukas Neumayer
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Rottoli
Genoa 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Niccolò Ciavarella
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Giuseppe La Vela
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Alexandre Aubriot
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–73 matches
| Metric | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | D'Agostino |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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