Gabriele Maria Noce vs Nicolo ToffaninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Maria Noce and Nicolo Toffanin have met 3 times since 2026; Gabriele Maria Noce leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Antalya 4 in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Noce leads 3–0. Noce has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Noce has taken 6 sets to Toffanin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gabriele Maria Noce won at M15 Mistelbach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | Toffanin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Nicolo Toffanin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/73 | 32% | 17/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 3/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 24/38 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 1, Toffanin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🪃 Counterpuncher
Toffanin
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriele Maria Noce.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
M15 Mistelbach
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 3, 2026
M15 Antalya 5
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2026
M15 Antalya 4
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | Toffanin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Nicolo Toffanin | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 4.14 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -36.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.47u | -4.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Noce and Toffanin posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | W 60 62 | W 64 64 |
| Alessandro Battiston | W 76 64 | W |
| Mirko Lagasio | W 63 60 | W 46 61 64 |
| Lorenzo Carboni | L 16 64 67 | L 16 46 |
| Pierre Delage | L 36 57 | L 46 64 36 |
| Carles Cordoba | L 46 76 16 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lorenzo Rottoli
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Pietro Marino
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ivan Biletic
M15 Sibenik · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Melilla · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jack Loge
M25 Rabat · 1st Round
Sep 9
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vaal Urankar
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Paul Schmid
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–73 matches
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 40% |
| Sets won | 54% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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