Gabriele Maria Noce vs Nicolo ToffaninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Maria Noce and Nicolo Toffanin have met 2 times since 2026; Gabriele Maria Noce leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Antalya 5 in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Noce leads 2–0. Noce has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Noce has taken 4 sets to Toffanin's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gabriele Maria Noce won at M15 Mistelbach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | Toffanin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Nicolo Toffanin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 22/62 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 3/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 19/32 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 1, Toffanin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🧱 The Wall
Toffanin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolo Toffanin.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
M15 Mistelbach
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 3, 2026
M15 Antalya 5
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | Toffanin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Nicolo Toffanin | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 19/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 9/24 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 3/24 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.32 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -8.4% | -34.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.43u | -4.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → ITA → AUT | AUT → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Toffanin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Noce's 25%).
| Opponent | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Thilo Behrmann | L 16 46 | W 46 61 64 |
| Pierre Delage | L 36 57 | L 46 64 36 |
| Carles Cordoba | L 46 76 16 | L 26 67 |
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | W 60 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
David Wallechner
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Patrick Jozwicki
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 18
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Nicola Rispoli
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Veljko Krstic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 1
Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vaal Urankar
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Paul Schmid
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Paul Schmid
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Odysseas Geladaris
M15 Targu Jiu · 1st Round
Aug 11
Gabriel Sardo
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica · 1st Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–62 matches
| Metric | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 25% |
| Sets won | 51% | 32% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | Toffanin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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