Gabriele Maria Noce vs Niccolò CiavarellaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Gabriele Maria Noce
#773 · 30 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇮🇹Niccolò Ciavarella
#1045 · 22 yrs · R
6Gabriele Maria Noce and Niccolò Ciavarella have met 1 time since 2025; Gabriele Maria Noce leads 1–0. Across all meetings Noce has taken 2 sets to Ciavarella's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gabriele Maria Noce won at M15 Gubbio (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 15 · 2:05 AM ET
Gabriele Maria Noce and Niccolò Ciavarella meet next at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on September 15 on clay.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 24/41 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 20% | 6/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 27/70 | 23% | 9/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 18% | 3/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 0, Ciavarella 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ciavarella
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,340 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 17, 2025
M15 Gubbio
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 23/28 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 8/28 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 1–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 4.49 |
| ROI % | -7.9% | -80.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.49u | -8.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 97 mi · 156 km |
| Route | AUT → ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noce has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ciavarella's 50%).
| Opponent | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Heorhii Shylov | W 46 64 62 | L 46 36 |
| Pietro Marino | W 64 62 | L 16 67 |
| Mirko Lagasio | W 63 60 | W 76 60 |
| Lorenzo Ferri | W 67 63 61 | W 75 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Pietro Marino
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Manuel Mazza
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Alessandro Battiston
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mirko Lagasio
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
David Wallechner
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Francesco Forti
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Andrey Chepelev
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Adrian Andreev
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Raffaele Ciurnelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 20
Maximilian Homberg
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilya Snitari
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–70 matches
| Metric | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 25% |
| Sets won | 55% | 29% |
| Games won | 53% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |