Gabriele Maria Noce vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Maria Noce and Michele Mecarelli have met 1 time since 2026; Gabriele Maria Noce leads 1–0. Across all meetings Noce has taken 2 sets to Mecarelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Gabriele Maria Noce won at M15 Gubbio (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 22/62 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 3/14 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 19/32 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🧱 The Wall
Mecarelli
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
Both Gabriele Maria Noce and Michele Mecarelli are 🧱 The Wall types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 276 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
M15 Gubbio
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 19/24 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 9/24 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 3/24 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.32 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -8.4% | -37.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.43u | -4.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → ITA → AUT | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Noce and Mecarelli posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Thilo Behrmann | L 16 46 | W 60 61 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 36 76 46 | L 46 26 |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | L 26 26 | L 64 36 46 |
| Manuel Mazza | W 16 76 64 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
David Wallechner
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Patrick Jozwicki
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 18
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Nicola Rispoli
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Veljko Krstic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 1
Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniele Minighini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Segrate · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–62 matches
| Metric | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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