Gabriele Maria Noce vs Manuel MazzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Maria Noce and Manuel Mazza have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Javea 1 in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Noce has taken 2 sets to Mazza's 3. Their most recent meeting: Manuel Mazza won at M15 Bologna (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Noce | Mazza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Maria Noce | Manuel Mazza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/73 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 3/18 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 81% | 25/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 24/38 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Noce 0, Mazza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noce
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mazza
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriele Maria Noce.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
M15 Bologna
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 7, 2026
M15 Javea 1
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noce | Mazza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Maria Noce | Manuel Mazza | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 20/23 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 26% | 6/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 8–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -25.2% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +1.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mazza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Noce's 40%).
| Opponent | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano D'Agostino | L 46 46 | W 36 64 63 |
| Giammarco Gandolfi | W 67 62 63 | W 61 63 |
| Lorenzo Carboni | L 16 64 67 | W |
| Michele Mecarelli | W 63 76 | W 64 62 |
| Leonid Sheyngezikht | L 76 67 46 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lorenzo Rottoli
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
John Sperle
M15 Budapest · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Pietro Marino
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Lorenzo Berto
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Bologna · Final
Sep 6
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Bologna · Semifinals
Sep 5
Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giacomo Crisostomo
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–73 matches
| Metric | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noce | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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