Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel MazzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Bologna
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 6 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.90 or longer, Gabriele Bosio has won 3 of 16 (19%). The price implied 25%, so Gabriele Bosio has fallen 6 points short of it.
At 1.36 or shorter, Manuel Mazza has won 8 of 10 (80%). The price implied 77%, so Manuel Mazza has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Gabriele Bosio and Manuel Mazza meet in the final of the M15 Bologna on clay on September 6, 2026. Both players rank outside the world's top 700, with Bosio at 693 and Mazza at 751. Neither has faced the other before, making this an open contest between two clay-court competitors with nearly identical recent records.
Both men have won four straight matches and hold 80% win rates over their last five outings. Bosio has gone 5-5 in his past ten matches; Mazza has won six of his last ten. Each has played four matches in the past 14 days and last took the court just a day ago. They have crossed paths against several common opponents in recent weeks, sharing losses to Denis Constantin Spiridon and Matteo Sciahbasi while both defeated Filippo Mazzola.
Bosio and Mazza hold matching 11-9 records on clay in recent play. Both operate as aggressive baseline players who rely on consistent depth and pace rather than serve-and-volley tactics. The final will test their ability to maintain intensity after compressed schedules; whoever manages steadier execution through the closing stages will control the outcome.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bosio | Mazza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Bosio | Manuel Mazza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 29/48 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 29/80 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 80% | 24/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 29/40 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bosio
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mazza
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Gabriele Bosio and Manuel Mazza are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,378 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Bosio and Mazza have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bosio | Mazza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Bosio | Manuel Mazza | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 3 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bosio | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -21.1% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.23u | -0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bosio | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ROU → ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Bosio and Mazza posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bosio | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Filippo Mazzola | W 76 75 | W 62 62 |
| Denis Constantin Spiridon | L 36 64 46 | L 57 62 36 |
| Matteo Sciahbasi | L 62 36 911 | L 57 64 36 |
| Fausto Tabacco | W 61 61 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · Semifinals
Sep 5
Blu Baker
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Matteo Sabbatini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 1
Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Targu Jiu · 1st Round
Aug 11
Giannicola Misasi
M15 Curtea de Arges · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Bologna · Semifinals
Sep 5
Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giacomo Crisostomo
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Niels Visker
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–80 matches
| Metric | Bosio | Mazza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |