Gabriele Bosio vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gabriele Bosio and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bosio has taken 0 sets to Castagnola's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M15 Nova Gorica (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bosio | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriele Bosio | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 27/44 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 35/37 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bosio 0, Castagnola 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bosio
⚔️ The Gladiator
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gabriele Bosio.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 18, 2026
M15 Nova Gorica
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bosio | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriele Bosio | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 3 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–11 | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -46.8% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -8.43u | -0.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ROU → ITA | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Bosio and Castagnola posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Constantin Spiridon | L 36 64 46 | W 26 62 42 |
| Maximilian Figl | W 62 63 | W 62 46 63 |
| Luca Parenti | W 63 63 | W 76 61 |
| Toufik Sahtali | L 16 46 | L 16 61 16 |
| Toufik Sahtali | L 16 46 | L 16 61 16 |
| Federico Iannaccone | W 46 62 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Targu Jiu · 1st Round
Aug 11
Giannicola Misasi
M15 Curtea de Arges · 1st Round
Aug 4
Radu David Turcanu
M25 Pitesti · 1st Round
Jul 28
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Luca Parenti
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 23
William Mirarchi
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–75 matches
| Metric | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 44% |
| Sets won | 55% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bosio | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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