Gabriel Debru vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทGabriel Debru
#678 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
11w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ฏ๐ตKoki Matsuda
#481 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
4Gabriel Debru and Koki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Gabriel Debru leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Debru has taken 2 sets to Matsuda's 1. Their most recent meeting: Gabriel Debru won at Samsun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Debru | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gabriel Debru | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 20% | 1/5 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 67% | 4/6 | 31% | 21/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/4 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 75% | 30/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Debru 0, Matsuda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Debru
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matsuda
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Koki Matsuda.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Samsun Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Debru | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gabriel Debru | Koki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ0 | 9โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +59.0% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.95u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 1,420 mi ยท 2,285 km |
| Route | โ | VIE โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Debru and Matsuda posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Inchauspe | W 64 62 | W 64 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Samsun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Koki Matsuda
Samsun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Adrian Boitan
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Alexis Galarneau
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 28
Gustavo Heide
Piracicaba Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Feb 1
Renzo Olivo
Piracicaba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jan 29
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 11
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jake Delaney
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 6โ68 matches
| Metric | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 62% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Debru | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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