Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇹Frederico Ferreira Silva
#236 · 31 yrs · L
4w4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇯🇵Yosuke Watanuki
#415 · 28 yrs · R
5wFrederico Ferreira Silva and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2019; Yosuke Watanuki leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Kaohsiung in 2019 on carpet. On hard courts Watanuki leads 3–0. Watanuki has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Watanuki leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Silva has taken 3 sets to Watanuki's 7. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Kobe Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferreira Silva | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frederico Ferreira Silva | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 12/32 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 27/65 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 3/14 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 8/22 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 18/31 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferreira Silva 0, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Silva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 12, 2025
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 27, 2022
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · Final
Nov 20, 2022
Kobe
H Hard · Final
Sep 9, 2019
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Silva | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frederico Ferreira Silva | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +11.8% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.47u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CZE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Silva's 0%).
| Opponent | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 16 26 | W 26 62 61 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 36 46 | L 46 06 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 26 67 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nicolas Kicker
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Maks Kasnikowski
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Martin Krumich
Bastad
Jul 12
Luka Pavlovic
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Olle Wallin
Brasov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Edas Butvilas
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–65 matches
| Metric | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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