Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇹Frederico Ferreira Silva
#262 · 31 yrs · L
6w4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇯🇵Yosuke Watanuki
#406 · 28 yrs · R
Frederico Ferreira Silva and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2019; Yosuke Watanuki leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Kaohsiung in 2019 on carpet. On hard courts Watanuki leads 3–0. Watanuki has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Watanuki leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Silva has taken 3 sets to Watanuki's 7. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Kobe Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferreira Silva | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frederico Ferreira Silva | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 26/62 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 3/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 8/21 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferreira Silva 0, Watanuki 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Silva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 12, 2025
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 27, 2022
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · Final
Nov 20, 2022
Kobe
H Hard · Final
Sep 9, 2019
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Silva | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frederico Ferreira Silva | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +29.2% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.46u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Silva's 0%).
| Opponent | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 16 26 | L 57 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 26 67 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Diego Dedura
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nicolas Kicker
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Maks Kasnikowski
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Martin Krumich
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–62 matches
| Metric | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 56% |
| Sets won | 51% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Silva | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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