Francisco Rocha vs Pol Martin TiffonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 4.67 or longer, Francisco Rocha has won 3 of 19 (16%). That is level with the 16% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha meet in the 1st Round of the Maia Challenger on October 12, 2026, on clay. Tiffon is ranked 215th; Rocha sits at 901st. The two have never played before.
Tiffon has won 2 of his last 5 matches but only 3 of his last 10, currently on a three-match losing streak. Rocha has won 1 of his last 5 and 3 of his last 10, also losing his last three. On clay over a recent sample, Tiffon stands at 10-10 for 50%, while Rocha has gone 7-13 for 35%. Both players lost to Jay Clarke and Tiago Pereira in recent outings.
Tiffon operates as a counterpuncher, reading the court and responding to aggression rather than dictating play from the baseline. Rocha builds points with defensive consistency, absorbing pace and wearing down opponents through length and positioning. The match will test whether Tiffon can impose his counter game against a defensive structure, or whether Rocha's patience on clay can absorb Tiffon's rhythm and force extended rallies.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Martin Tiffon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Pol Martin Tiffon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 8/14 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Tiffon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pol Martin Tiffon.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Rocha and Tiffon have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Tiffon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Pol Martin Tiffon | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–9 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -78.0% | -50.9% |
| Units P/L | -8.58u | -4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 413 mi · 664 km |
| Route | POR | BUL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiffon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Rocha's 0%).
| Opponent | Rocha | Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Pereira | L 46 57 | L 36 46 |
| Jay Clarke | L 16 46 | L 57 16 |
| Philip Henning | L 16 46 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Salvador Monteiro
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Laurent Lokoli
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Max Alcala Gurri
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tommaso Compagnucci
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Benjamin Hassan
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–54 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 57% |
| Sets won | 44% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |