Francisco Rocha vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Rocha and Lui Maxted have met 1 time since 2026; Lui Maxted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 1 sets to Maxted's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lui Maxted won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 8/14 | 55% | 26/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 0, Maxted 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lui Maxted.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Lui Maxted | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 87% | 20/23 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 57% | 13/23 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 17% | 4/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–9 | 14–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.65 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -64.3% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | -7.71u | -3.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maxted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Rocha's 29%).
| Opponent | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Julien Penzlin | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Benjamin Pietri | L 16 57 | W 76 62 |
| Goncalo Marques | W 64 67 64 | W |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | L 36 26 | W 63 61 |
| Tiago Torres | L 64 36 26 | L 36 16 |
| Garrett Johns | L 36 67 | W 60 62 |
| Liam Broady | L 26 76 06 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Salvador Monteiro
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Francisco Rocha
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tyler Stice
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Blu Baker
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–64 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 67% |
| Sets won | 44% | 63% |
| Games won | 48% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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