Francisco Rocha vs Lucas MarionneauPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Rocha and Lucas Marionneau have met 1 time since 2026; Francisco Rocha leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 2 sets to Marionneau's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Rocha won at M15 Castelo Branco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 6/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 14/33 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 1, Marionneau 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -23.2% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | -2.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Cacao
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matisse Farzam
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Riccardo Bellotti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Emile Hudd
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto · Semifinals
Jun 27
Goncalo Marques
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–48 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 69% |
| Sets won | 44% | 66% |
| Games won | 48% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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