Francisco Rocha vs Lucas MarionneauPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Rocha and Lucas Marionneau have met 1 time since 2026; Francisco Rocha leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 2 sets to Marionneau's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Rocha won at M15 Castelo Branco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Rocha | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 8/14 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 13/33 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 1, Marionneau 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🧱 The Wall
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Rocha | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–9 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 1.29 |
| ROI % | -78.0% | -16.1% |
| Units P/L | -8.58u | -1.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleksii Krutykh
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Salvador Monteiro
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
M15 Rognac · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–52 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 71% |
| Sets won | 44% | 68% |
| Games won | 48% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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