Francesco Passaro vs Tiago TorresPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 13 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.24 or shorter, Francesco Passaro has won 21 of 25 (84%). The price implied 80%, so Francesco Passaro has beaten it by 4 points.
At 3.83 or longer, Tiago Torres has won 5 of 10 (50%). The price implied 17%, so Tiago Torres has beaten it by 33 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Francesco Passaro meets Tiago Torres in the first round of the Maia Challenger on clay on October 13. Passaro, ranked 229, arrives in the midst of a five-match winning streak after competing in five matches over the past two weeks. Torres sits at 365 and has lost his last three outings after playing just twice in the same span.
The two have never faced each other. Passaro has won just one of his last five matches according to his longer sample, though his immediate form tells a different story: he has won seven of his last ten. Torres has converted only two of his last ten matches and won just one of five most recently.
Passaro relies on power off the ground, particularly from the baseline. Torres competes through consistency and rallying depth. On clay specifically, Passaro holds a 55% win rate over a recent sample, while Torres stands at 50%. The surface will test whether Passaro can sustain his hot streak while Torres attempts to regain rhythm after his recent slide.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Torres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Tiago Torres | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 46% | 32/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 85% | 33/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 56% | 22/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Torres
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Passaro.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Passaro and Torres have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Torres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Tiago Torres | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | +33.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | +2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Passaro and Torres posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Passaro | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 67 26 | W 64 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 36 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Tiago Cacao
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Jack Anthrop
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 15
Mert Alkaya
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Mika Petkovic
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Alejandro Tabilo
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–69 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |