Francesco Passaro vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Passaro and Jesper de Jong have met 3 times since 2024; Jesper de Jong leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Cagliari in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Jong leads 2–0. Jong has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 5 sets to Jong's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 0, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Passaro.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2024
Cagliari
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | -40.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -5.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | ITA | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Passaro's 40%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Enrico Dalla Valle | W 63 64 | W 26 76 62 |
| Jan Choinski | L 36 46 | L 16 67 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 46 | W 76 75 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 57 64 62 | W 63 46 61 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 46 57 | L 63 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–58 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 57% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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