Francesco Passaro vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Passaro and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2024; Jesper de Jong leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Cagliari in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Jong leads 2–0. Jong has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 3 sets to Jong's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.73 or shorter, Jesper de Jong has won 76 of 121 matches, 63% against a fair-price expectation of 62%.
Priced around 2.08 or longer, Francesco Passaro has won 26 of 64 matches, 41% against a fair-price expectation of 38%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Francesco Passaro and Jesper de Jong meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 13/34 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 0, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
🤖 Servebot
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2024
Cagliari
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -30.2% | -9.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.62u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km |
| Route | ITA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Passaro's 17%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 46 | W 63 61 |
| Jan Choinski | L 36 46 | L 16 67 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 46 | W 76 75 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | L 26 46 | W 26 76 62 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 57 64 62 | W 63 46 61 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 46 57 | L 63 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Oriol Roca Batalla
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Choinski
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Dominic Stricker
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Martin Krumich
Bastad
Jul 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Bastad
Jul 12
Maximilian Homberg
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 49% |
| Sets won | 52% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |