Francesco Passaro vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Passaro and Jan Choinski have met 2 times since 2025; Jan Choinski leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Choinski leads 2–0. Choinski has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 0, Choinski 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Francesco Passaro and Jan Choinski are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2025
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -2.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Passaro and Choinski posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 64 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 62 26 64 36 26 | W 61 76 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 76 64 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Gill | W 76 62 | W 64 67 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 46 57 | L 67 76 67 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 61 36 63 | W 64 26 63 |
| Marko Topo | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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