Francesco Passaro vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Passaro and Jan Choinski have met 2 times since 2025; Jan Choinski leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Choinski leads 2–0. Choinski has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 13/34 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 0, Choinski 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
🤖 Servebot
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2025
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 18–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -30.2% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.62u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km |
| Route | ITA | GER → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Passaro's 43%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 46 57 | L 67 76 67 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 61 36 63 | W 64 26 63 |
| Henri Squire | L 75 46 57 | W 67 75 75 |
| Chris Rodesch | W 63 76 | W 67 63 75 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 61 57 64 | W 75 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Marko Topo | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Oriol Roca Batalla
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Choinski
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Dominic Stricker
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Martin Krumich
Bastad
Jul 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Bastad
Jul 12
Maximilian Homberg
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–78 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 63% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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