Francesco Maestrelli vs Yanis Ghazouani DurandPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#171 · 23 yrs · R
31 meeting · sets 2–1
🇫🇷Yanis Ghazouani Durand
#509 · 26 yrs · R
Francesco Maestrelli and Yanis Ghazouani Durand have met 1 time since 2026; Francesco Maestrelli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 2 sets to Durand's 1. Their most recent meeting: Francesco Maestrelli won at Rennes Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Ghazouani Durand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 12/32 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 23/57 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 54% | 22/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 0, Ghazouani Durand 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Durand
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 17, 2026
Rennes Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Durand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -36.9% | -10.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.80u | -2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 523 mi · 841 km | 984 mi · 1,583 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Durand's 33%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Nagel | W 64 76 | L 36 63 26 |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | W 63 63 | W 76 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Tom Paris
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Leonardo Rossi
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Emile Hudd
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Karl Poling
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Leo Raquillet
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–71 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 61% |
| Sets won | 45% | 58% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Durand |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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