Head-to-Head

Francesco Maestrelli vs Mili PoljicakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli

#171 · 23 yrs · R

3Lost 3 straight

0–0

First meeting

🇭🇷Mili Poljicak

#286 · 22 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Olbia Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 13 · 5:00 AM ET

Book odds

Mili Poljicak2.352.39

Francesco Maestrelli1.551.53

Set spread

Poljicak -1.53.74

Maestrelli +1.51.23

Game spread

Poljicak +2.51.85

Maestrelli -2.51.84

PoljicakClay-court specialist (79%)MaestrelliClay-court specialist (51%)

Record at prices like this

Mili Poljicak2.39implies 32%won 24%−8 pts

At 2.39 or longer, Mili Poljicak has won 5 of 21 (24%). The price implied 32%, so Mili Poljicak has fallen 8 points short of it.

Francesco Maestrelli1.53implies 67%won 61%−6 pts

At 1.53 or shorter, Francesco Maestrelli has won 31 of 51 (61%). The price implied 67%, so Francesco Maestrelli has fallen 6 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Francesco Maestrelli and Mili Poljicak meet next at the Olbia Challenger on October 13 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Maestrelli	Poljicak
Indicator	Francesco Maestrelli		Mili Poljicak
Wins in straight sets	56%	14/25	75%	30/40
Wins a set when losing	38%	12/32	39%	9/23
Goes to a deciding set	40%	23/57	30%	19/63
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	46%	12/26	57%	26/46
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	48%	14/29	65%	11/17
Tiebreak sets won	53%	17/32	59%	10/17
Wins after taking set 1	76%	19/25	88%	38/43
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	56%	14/25	70%	30/43

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Maestrelli

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Poljicak

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Maestrelli and Poljicak have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Maestrelli	Poljicak
Outcome	Francesco Maestrelli		Mili Poljicak
1 or more	100%	12/12	100%	14/14
3 or more	83%	10/12	86%	12/14
5 or more	67%	8/12	71%	10/14
10 or more	42%	5/12	29%	4/14
15 or more	17%	2/12	7%	1/14
20 or more	0%	0/12	0%	0/14

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Maestrelli	Poljicak
W-L	5–8	10–8
Avg odds	2.35	2.06
ROI %	-36.9%	-0.3%
Units P/L	-4.80u	-0.06u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Maestrelli	Poljicak
Countries	1	1
Events	2	1
Matches	4	2
Distance	523 mi · 841 km	0 mi · 0 km
Route	FRA	POR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Poljicak has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Maestrelli's 43%).

Opponent	Maestrelli	Poljicak
Max Basing	L 64 67 46	W 61 64
Juan Pablo Varillas	L 67 64 36	W 75 64
Lukas Neumayer	W 64 60	L 46 64 46
Kimmer Coppejans	L 76 26 46	W 36 64 64
Buvaysar Gadamauri	W 63 63	L 06 16
Lorenzo Giustino	W 76 61	W 62 36 62
Tom Gentzsch	L 46 46	W 64 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Maestrelli

LLLWWLWW

Oliver Tarvet

Villena Challenger · 1st Round

Oct 6

Andrea Guerrieri

St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round

76⁴

Sep 21

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals

Sep 18

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round

76³

Sep 17

Arthur Nagel

Rennes Challenger · 1st Round

76³

Sep 16

Maks Kasnikowski

Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals

Sep 11

Alafia Ayeni

Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round

6²7

Sep 9

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 8

Poljicak

LWLWLLLL

Max Hans Rehberg

Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

Oct 5

Patrick Brady

Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 4

Henrique Rocha

Porto Challenger · 2nd Round

Oct 1

Max Basing

Porto Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 28

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Genoa Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 7

Matej Dodig

Como Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 31

Max Schoenhaus

Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 24

Sebastian Dominko

M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Aug 20

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches

Metric	Maestrelli	Poljicak
Matches won	44%	63%
Sets won	45%	61%
Games won	48%	53%

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