Francesco Maestrelli vs Matteo GigantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#168 · 23 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 5–7
🇮🇹Matteo Gigante
#1057 · 24 yrs · L
49wFrancesco Maestrelli and Matteo Gigante have met 5 times since 2022; Matteo Gigante leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Milan Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Gigante leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 5 sets to Gigante's 7. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Gigante won at Rome Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Gigante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Matteo Gigante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 12/23 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/52 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 13/26 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 1, Gigante 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Gigante
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 14, 2024
Turin
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 24, 2024
Tenerife 2 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 20, 2023
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 20, 2022
Milan Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | - |
| ROI % | -59.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.16u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Clement Chidekh
Orleans Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coleman Wong
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 21
Edas Butvilas
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Patrick Kypson
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 5
Gabriel Diallo
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Borna Coric
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lukas Klein
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–54 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 50% |
| Sets won | 44% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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