Francesco Maestrelli vs Matteo GigantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Maestrelli and Matteo Gigante have met 5 times since 2022; Matteo Gigante leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Milan Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Gigante leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 5 sets to Gigante's 7. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Gigante won at Rome Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Gigante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Matteo Gigante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 12/32 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 23/57 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 1, Gigante 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Gigante
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 14, 2024
Turin
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 24, 2024
Tenerife 2 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 20, 2023
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 20, 2022
Milan Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | - |
| ROI % | -36.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.80u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 523 mi · 841 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Clement Chidekh
Orleans Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coleman Wong
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 21
Edas Butvilas
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Patrick Kypson
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 5
Gabriel Diallo
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Borna Coric
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lukas Klein
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–59 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | - |
| Sets won | 45% | - |
| Games won | 48% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Gigante |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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