Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Maestrelli
#171 · 23 yrs · R
32 meetings · sets 1–4
🇵🇱Maks Kasnikowski
#238 · 23 yrs · R
3Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski have met 2 times since 2024; Maks Kasnikowski leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Perugia Challenger in 2024 on clay. Kasnikowski has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Maestrelli has taken 1 sets to Kasnikowski's 4. Their most recent meeting: Maks Kasnikowski won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 79% | 42/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/56 | 35% | 29/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 62% | 38/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 82% | 47/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 14/25 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maestrelli 0, Kasnikowski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 10, 2024
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -36.9% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.80u | -4.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 523 mi · 841 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasnikowski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maestrelli's 33%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri | L 36 76 36 | L 63 36 46 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 06 36 | W 64 62 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 46 | L 67 64 46 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 76 61 | W 64 76 |
| Miguel Damas | L 67 46 | W 76 61 |
| Justin Engel | W 64 62 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elmer Moller
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–83 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 64% |
| Sets won | 45% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maestrelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.