Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo FicovichPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Istanbul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.39 or shorter, Francesco Maestrelli has won 21 of 29 (72%). That is level with the 74% the price implied.
At 2.88 or longer, Juan Pablo Ficovich has won 10 of 27 (37%). The price implied 28%, so Juan Pablo Ficovich has beaten it by 9 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Juan Pablo Ficovich meets Francesco Maestrelli in the 1st Round of the Istanbul Challenger on September 7. The Argentine, ranked 379, faces the Italian Maestrelli, who sits at 168. The hard court surface will host their first encounter.
Both players arrive in difficult form. Ficovich has won 1 of his last 10 matches and carries a two-match losing streak into this draw. Maestrelli is worse off, winning just 1 of his last 5 and 1 of his last 10 after dropping four straight. The Italian has not played in 13 days. Their common opponent record is split: Maestrelli defeated Pol Martin Tiffon while Ficovich fell to him, and both lost to Alexis Galarneau before splitting wins against Shintaro Mochizuki.
Ficovich relies on power and aggression from the baseline, but his hard court record stands at 7 wins and 13 losses. Maestrelli serves consistently and has held his own on hard surfaces with an 11-9 record in this sample. Ficovich must impose pace and disrupt Maestrelli's serving rhythm, while Maestrelli needs to hold serve and press against a player returning from limited recent play.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maestrelli | Pablo Ficovich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Maestrelli | Juan Pablo Ficovich | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 43% | 9/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Ficovich
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,750 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Maestrelli and Ficovich have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maestrelli | Ficovich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Maestrelli | Juan Pablo Ficovich | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–7 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.66 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -64.5% | -69.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.16u | -4.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,300 mi · 2,092 km | 5,957 mi · 9,587 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | JAM → BUL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ficovich's 25%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 64 63 | L 46 46 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 67 57 | L 64 46 67 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 76 36 64 | W 67 64 61 |
| Matias Soto | W 62 64 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Evan Zhu
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Miguel Tobon
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Mert Alkaya
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ozan Baris
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–55 matches
| Metric | Maestrelli | Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 35% |
| Sets won | 45% | 42% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |