Francesca Pace vs Merna RefaatPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesca Pace and Merna Refaat have met 1 time since 2025; Francesca Pace leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pace has taken 2 sets to Refaat's 1. Their most recent meeting: Francesca Pace won at W35 Norman 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pace | Refaat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesca Pace | Merna Refaat | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 27/37 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 4/21 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pace 0, Refaat 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pace
💥 Big Hitter
Refaat
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesca Pace.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 24, 2025
W35 Norman 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pace | Refaat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesca Pace | Merna Refaat | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 18/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 5/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pace | Refaat |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +33.7% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +7.41u | +0.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pace | Refaat |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → BEL | USA → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emma Kamper
W35 Las Vegas · Final
Oct 11
Annika Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · Semifinals
Oct 10
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Las Vegas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Kate Fakih
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anna Sinclair Rogers
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 29
Ariana Geerlings
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Rose Marie Nijkamp
W15 Nashville · Semifinals
Oct 3
Carlota Moreno
W15 Nashville · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Sophia Webster
W15 Nashville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alice Soulie
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Connie Ma
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Austin 1 · Quarterfinals
Nov 14
Cristina Ramos Sierra
W50 Austin 1 · 2nd Round
Nov 13
Katherine Sebov
W50 Austin 1 · 1st Round
Nov 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–58 matches
| Metric | Pace | Refaat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pace | Refaat |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pace | Refaat |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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