Francesca Jones vs Martina ColmegnaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 13 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.08 or shorter, Francesca Jones has won 9 of 10 (90%). That is level with the 90% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martina Colmegna meets Francesca Jones in the 1st Round of the Lisboa Belem Open on October 13 on clay. Jones, ranked 104th, is seeded above Colmegna at 325th. The two have never played each other.
Colmegna has won three of her last five matches and holds a 12-8 record on clay. Jones has won just two of five recently, though her clay sample shows 16-4. Both players last competed more than two weeks ago. Against common opponents Lucija Ciric Bagaric and Nuria Brancaccio, Jones prevailed while Colmegna lost in both meetings.
Colmegna operates as a reactive player who constructs points from her opponent's pace, thriving on patience and counter-attacking. Jones combines all-court skills with versatility and depth, capable of dictating from anywhere on the court. On clay, Jones's 80% win rate reflects her comfort in extended rallies and positional control, while Colmegna's 60% suggests she relies more heavily on her opponent's errors. Jones will need her usual rhythm and court command; Colmegna must use movement and timing to stay competitive in longer exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Colmegna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesca Jones | Martina Colmegna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 15/30 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 21/47 | 22% | 13/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 15/33 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 6/14 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 86% | 32/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 15/26 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
👑 The Complete Package
Colmegna
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesca Jones.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Jones and Colmegna have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Colmegna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesca Jones | Martina Colmegna | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Colmegna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +17.2% | -16.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.62u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jones | Colmegna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → SUI | ESP → BIH → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jones has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Colmegna's 0%).
| Opponent | Jones | Colmegna |
|---|---|---|
| Nuria Brancaccio | W 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Alice Rame | W 61 62 | L 64 16 26 |
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | W 75 63 | L 46 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mona Barthel
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Alja Senica
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Raluka Serban
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Magda Linette
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Joanna Garland
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Mona Barthel
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Mia Horvit
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alena Kovackova
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federica Bilardo
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Mia Ristic
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Gabriella Price
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 26
Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Jones | Colmegna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |