Francesca Curmi vs Xinxin YaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇹Francesca Curmi
#237 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇳Xinxin Yao
#277 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
3Francesca Curmi and Xinxin Yao have met 1 time since 2026; Francesca Curmi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Curmi has taken 2 sets to Yao's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francesca Curmi won at W50 Darmstadt (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Curmi | Yao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesca Curmi | Xinxin Yao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 28/37 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 3/22 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 12/59 | 35% | 21/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 4/15 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 67% | 20/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Curmi 1, Yao 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curmi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Yao
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,723 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 17, 2026
W50 Darmstadt
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curmi | Yao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesca Curmi | Xinxin Yao | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -1.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.88u | -0.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GBR | USA → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Curmi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Yao's 0%).
| Opponent | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Nastasja Schunk | L 36 26 | L 06 46 |
| Alevtina Ibragimova | W 63 75 | L 26 36 |
| Isabella Shinikova | W 63 62 | L 62 16 46 |
| Amandine Monnot | W 63 75 | L 36 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Berfu Cengiz
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · Semifinals
Aug 1
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Francisca Jorge
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 29
Martina Trevisan
W75 Cordenons · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Cordenons · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Pia Lovric
W75 Cordenons · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nastasja Schunk
W50 Darmstadt · Semifinals
Jul 18
Xinxin Yao
W50 Darmstadt · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rasheeda Mcadoo
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ida Wobker
W75 Leipzig · 1st Round
Aug 5
Nastasja Schunk
W75 Hechingen · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Dayeon Back
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lola Giza
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Sophie Triquart
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francesca Curmi
W50 Darmstadt · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Diana Martynov
W50 Darmstadt · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curmi | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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