Francesca Curmi vs Margaux MaquetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W75 Poitiers
- Level
- ITF W75
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 30 · 7:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.18 or shorter, Francesca Curmi has won 14 of 17 (82%). The price implied 85%, so Francesca Curmi has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Francesca Curmi and Margaux Maquet meet next at the W75 Poitiers on October 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Curmi | Maquet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesca Curmi | Margaux Maquet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 35/48 | 74% | 42/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 17/71 | 32% | 24/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 27/48 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 88% | 50/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curmi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Maquet
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Margaux Maquet.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Curmi and Maquet have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curmi | Maquet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesca Curmi | Margaux Maquet | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curmi | Maquet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | -3.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.59u | -0.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curmi | Maquet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → ESP → ROU | COL → EGY → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Curmi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Maquet's 43%).
| Opponent | Curmi | Maquet |
|---|---|---|
| Matilde Jorge | W 76 26 60 | W 46 75 63 |
| Elizara Yaneva | W 61 46 64 | L 36 36 |
| Emma Lene | W | L 64 46 46 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | L 76 36 57 | L 36 26 |
| Sarah Van Emst | W 46 75 63 | L 62 46 36 |
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | W 61 64 | W 76 63 |
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | W 75 61 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Vlasselaer
W75 Poitiers · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Astrid Cirotte
W75 Poitiers · 1st Round
Oct 27
Ariana Geerlings
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Oct 17
Elizara Yaneva
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Marina Bassols Ribera
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Eva Vedder
Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Oct 12
Alisa Oktiabreva
W50 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
W50 Heraklion · 3rd Round
Oct 8
Mathilde Lollia
W75 Poitiers · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Matilde Jorge
W75 Poitiers · 1st Round
Oct 27
Diana Marcinkevica
W75 Poitiers · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Mayuka Aikawa
W35 Birmingham · 1st Round
Oct 13
Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round
Oct 7
Elizara Yaneva
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round
Sep 23
Lucie Petruzelova
W50 Plovdiv · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Amy Sucha
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–77 matches
| Metric | Curmi | Maquet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 74% |
| Sets won | 63% | 70% |
| Games won | 57% | 59% |