Florian Broska vs Sergi Perez ContriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.46 or shorter, Florian Broska has won 20 of 26 (77%). The price implied 74%, so Florian Broska has beaten it by 3 points.
At 2.56 or longer, Sergi Perez Contri has won 5 of 25 (20%). The price implied 29%, so Sergi Perez Contri has fallen 9 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Florian Broska and Sergi Perez Contri meet in the third round of qualifying at the Maia Challenger on October 12 on clay. Broska ranks 334; Perez Contri sits at 446. The two have never faced each other.
Broska has won three of his last five matches after a slower stretch that saw him convert just four of ten over the prior two weeks. Perez Contri showed the opposite arc, winning six of ten before cooling to two victories in his last five. Both players hold identical clay records of 12 wins in 24 recent matches. Broska and Perez Contri split recent results against common opponents; Broska beat Kangyuan Shi while falling to Sean Cuenin, and Perez Contri won against both.
Broska operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on ball control and positioning from the baseline. Perez Contri brings relentless court coverage and aggression, the style of a fighter who wears opponents down through intensity. On clay, both players have maintained identical win rates. The question is whether Broska can dictate off the ground or whether Perez Contri's sustained pressure overwhelms the rhythm Broska needs to function.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Broska | Perez Contri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Florian Broska | Sergi Perez Contri | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 58% | 29/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/63 | 40% | 30/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 21/41 | 49% | 24/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 15/20 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 95% | 37/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Broska
🪃 Counterpuncher
Contri
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Florian Broska.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Broska and Contri have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Broska | Contri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Florian Broska | Sergi Perez Contri | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Broska | Contri |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -52.8% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.22u | -2.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Broska | Contri |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Contri has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Broska's 43%).
| Opponent | Broska | Contri |
|---|---|---|
| Hazem Naow | W 64 36 76 | W 76 64 |
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | W 46 61 63 | W 26 61 63 |
| Sean Cuenin | L 36 57 | W 76 60 |
| Jan Kumstat | L 76 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | L 36 26 | L 36 26 |
| John Echeverria | L 36 36 | W 61 62 |
| Jonas Forejtek | W 67 63 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Oetzbach
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Lukas Neumayer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Boitan
M25 Slobozia · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Slobozia · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Robert Guna
M25 Slobozia · 1st Round
Sep 30
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sean Cuenin
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Tiago Cacao
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nicolas Barrientos
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo · Final
Aug 29
Pedro Rodenas
M25 Oviedo · Semifinals
Aug 28
Carles Hernandez
M25 Oviedo · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Carles Cordoba
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Ignacio Parisca
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–75 matches
| Metric | Broska | Contri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 67% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |