Finn Reilly vs Niklas WaldnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Sharm ElSheikh
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 7 · 3:05 AM ET
Book odds
Finn Reilly faces Niklas Waldner in the 1st Round of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh on hard court Wednesday. The two meet for the first time, with Reilly unranked and Waldner sitting at number 1246. Both players arrive after competing frequently in recent days, with Waldner having played five matches in the last fortnight.
Waldner has posted a 12-8 record on hard court against Reilly's 6-14 mark. Waldner has won 60% of his last ten matches and 60% of his last five, while Reilly sits at 40% across both samples. Both players come in off losses, each having fallen to Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde.
Reilly relies on his serve to generate opportunities, a weapon that becomes central on hard court where the ball travels fastest. Waldner operates as a baseline grinder, constructing points through consistency and court positioning rather than raw power. Reilly must convert his serving chances into quick points; Waldner will need to sustain rallies and pressure Reilly's return game to slow the match's tempo.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Reilly | Waldner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Finn Reilly | Niklas Waldner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/1 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 11% | 2/19 | 10% | 3/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 3/20 | 16% | 8/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 63% | 5/8 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/3 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Reilly
🤖 Servebot
Waldner
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 619 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Finn Reilly.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Reilly and Waldner have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Reilly | Waldner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Finn Reilly | Niklas Waldner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Reilly | Waldner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 10.36 | 4.08 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -6.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -1.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Reilly and Waldner posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Reilly | Waldner |
|---|---|---|
| Cadence Benchetrit | L 67 26 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cadence Benchetrit
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Edoardo Zanada
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Darsh Sachin Patel
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Aleksei Vidunov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sergey Betov
M15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Darsh Agarwal
M15 Hurghada · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M15 Hurghada · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Channamallikarjuna Yale
M15 Hurghada · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Yahor Slizevich
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Andre Biciusca Meinertz
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Aleksei Vidunov
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lorenzo Lorusso
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Gawad El Feky
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Denis Rasshchupkin
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Romain Faucon
M25 Meerbusch · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–50 matches
| Metric | Reilly | Waldner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 5% | 40% |
| Sets won | 9% | 40% |
| Games won | 33% | 47% |