Finn Murgett vs Mathieu ScagliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Finn Murgett and Mathieu Scaglia have met 1 time since 2026; Finn Murgett leads 1–0. Across all meetings Murgett has taken 2 sets to Scaglia's 1. Their most recent meeting: Finn Murgett won at M15 Heraklion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Murgett | Scaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Finn Murgett | Mathieu Scaglia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 42% | 18/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Murgett 0, Scaglia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Murgett
⚔️ The Gladiator
Scaglia
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathieu Scaglia.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 8, 2026
M15 Heraklion
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Murgett | Scaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Finn Murgett | Mathieu Scaglia | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Murgett | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +7.6% | +3.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.84u | +0.64u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Murgett and Scaglia posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Murgett | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Martin Weinberg | W 64 61 | W 67 63 62 |
| Robin Bertrand | L 57 06 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Diogo Marques
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pablo Martin Weinberg
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Miguel Semedo
M25 Setubal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Henri Haupt
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Robin Bertrand
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Amit Vales
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–52 matches
| Metric | Murgett | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Murgett | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Murgett | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.