Finn Murgett vs Goncalo MarquesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Finn Murgett and Goncalo Marques have met 1 time since 2026; Goncalo Marques leads 1–0. Across all meetings Murgett has taken 0 sets to Marques's 2. Their most recent meeting: Goncalo Marques won at M25 Sintra (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Murgett | Marques | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Finn Murgett | Goncalo Marques | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 76% | 32/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 28% | 19/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Murgett 0, Marques 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Murgett
⚔️ The Gladiator
Marques
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Goncalo Marques.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
M25 Sintra
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Murgett | Marques | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Finn Murgett | Goncalo Marques | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 74% | 20/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 44% | 12/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 18–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | +7.6% | +26.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.84u | +7.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marques has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Murgett's 40%).
| Opponent | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Georgii Kravchenko | L 46 26 | W 26 63 64 |
| Diogo Marques | W 64 75 | W 63 46 62 |
| Pablo Martin Weinberg | W 64 61 | W 60 61 |
| Robin Bertrand | L 57 06 | W 75 76 |
| Cyril Vandermeersch | L 64 67 06 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Diogo Marques
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pablo Martin Weinberg
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Miguel Semedo
M25 Setubal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Petr Nesterov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Christian Langmo
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Georgii Kravchenko
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Lui Maxted
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Final
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–68 matches
| Metric | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 57% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Murgett | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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