Head-to-Head

Filippo Romano vs Matthew William DonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Filippo Romano

#301 · 21 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇨🇿Matthew William Donald

#416 · 21 yrs · R

9Title9-match win streakWon M25 Santa Margherita di Pula

Upcoming match

Tournament: Florence Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: Quarterfinals
Surface: Clay
Date & time: October 23 · 5:30 AM ET

Book odds

Matthew William Donald1.74

Filippo Romano2.01

Set spread

William Donald -1.52.67

Romano +1.51.41

Game spread

William Donald -11.83

Romano +11.85

William DonaldClay-court specialist (62%)RomanoClay-court specialist (53%)

Record at prices like this

Matthew William Donald1.74implies 64%won 79%+15 pts

At 1.74 or shorter, Matthew William Donald has won 11 of 14 (79%). The price implied 64%, so Matthew William Donald has beaten it by 15 points.

Filippo Romano2.01implies 39%won 35%−4 pts

At 2.01 or longer, Filippo Romano has won 12 of 34 (35%). The price implied 39%, so Filippo Romano has fallen 4 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Filippo Romano and Matthew William Donald meet next at the Florence Challenger on October 23 on clay.

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Romano	William Donald
Indicator	Filippo Romano		Matthew William Donald
Wins in straight sets	71%	36/51	70%	42/60
Wins a set when losing	19%	6/32	28%	8/29
Goes to a deciding set	25%	21/83	29%	26/89
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	59%	17/29	38%	10/26
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	56%	22/39	55%	12/22
Tiebreak sets won	50%	14/28	64%	14/22
Wins after taking set 1	94%	45/48	93%	51/55
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	75%	36/48	76%	42/55

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Romano

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Donald

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,325 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Filippo Romano.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Romano and Donald have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Romano	Donald
Outcome	Filippo Romano		Matthew William Donald
1 or more	100%	11/11	67%	16/24
3 or more	64%	7/11	8%	2/24
5 or more	46%	5/11	0%	0/24
10 or more	0%	0/11	0%	0/24
15 or more	0%	0/11	0%	0/24
20 or more	0%	0/11	0%	0/24

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Romano	Donald
W-L	5–8	14–6
Avg odds	2.00	1.74
ROI %	-34.2%	+13.3%
Units P/L	-4.45u	+2.65u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Romano	Donald
Countries	1	1
Events	1	2
Matches	3	7
Distance	0 mi · 0 km	462 mi · 744 km
Route	FRA	ITA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 6 shared opponents, both Romano and Donald posted a 67% win rate.

Opponent	Romano	Donald
Jonas Forejtek	L 46 16	W 62 61
Adrian Oetzbach	W 63 76	W 64 62
Nikolai Barsukov	W 64 64	W 61 62
Luca Potenza	W 63 75	W 62 76
Arthur Nagel	L 46 06	L 36 26
Sydney Zick	W 61 64	L 26 64 26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Romano

WWLLWWLL

Yanaki Milev

Florence Challenger · 2nd Round

Oct 22

Filip Cristian Jianu

Florence Challenger · 1st Round

Oct 20

Andrej Nedic

Maia Challenger · 1st Round

6²7

Oct 13

Harry Wendelken

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 29

Ryan Peniston

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Kenny De Schepper

Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 27

Raul Brancaccio

Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round

6⁴7

Sep 21

Petr Brunclik

Biella Challenger · 1st Round

6⁵7

6⁴7

Sep 14

Donald

WWWWWWWW

Henry Searle

Florence Challenger · 2nd Round

76¹⁶

Oct 22

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Florence Challenger · 1st Round

Oct 20

Javier Barranco Cosano

Florence Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

Oct 19

Gabriele Pennaforti

Florence Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 18

Giorgio Tabacco

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final

Oct 17

Alexander Weis

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals

Oct 16

Jonas Forejtek

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals

Oct 15

Giovanni Oradini

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round

Oct 14

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 83–89 matches

Metric	Romano	Donald
Matches won	61%	67%
Sets won	58%	63%
Games won	53%	55%

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.