Head-to-Head

Filip Peliwo vs Naoya HondaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇵🇱Filip Peliwo

#643 · 32 yrs · R

3Beat 3 favorites

0–0

First meeting

🇯🇵Naoya Honda

#637 · 20 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Ningboo Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 27 · 3:30 AM ET

Book odds

Naoya Honda1.571.69

Filip Peliwo2.252.08

Set spread

Honda -1.52.65

Peliwo +1.51.41

Game spread

Honda -1.51.86

Peliwo +1.51.85

HondaHard-court specialist (94%)PeliwoHard-court specialist (96%)

Record at prices like this

Naoya Honda1.69implies 63%won 55%−8 pts

At 1.69 or shorter, Naoya Honda has won 11 of 20 (55%). The price implied 63%, so Naoya Honda has fallen 8 points short of it.

Filip Peliwo2.08implies 37%won 20%−17 pts

At 2.08 or longer, Filip Peliwo has won 6 of 30 (20%). The price implied 37%, so Filip Peliwo has fallen 17 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Filip Peliwo and Naoya Honda meet next at the Ningboo Challenger on October 27 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Peliwo	Honda
Indicator	Filip Peliwo		Naoya Honda
Wins in straight sets	72%	23/32	80%	28/35
Wins a set when losing	25%	9/36	39%	11/28
Goes to a deciding set	26%	18/68	29%	18/63
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	47%	17/36	50%	17/34
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	32%	10/31	48%	10/21
Tiebreak sets won	55%	11/20	58%	15/26
Wins after taking set 1	82%	28/34	76%	32/42
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	68%	23/34	67%	28/42

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Peliwo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Honda

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,850 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoya Honda.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Peliwo and Honda have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Peliwo	Honda
Outcome	Filip Peliwo		Naoya Honda
1 or more	75%	18/24	93%	13/14
3 or more	63%	15/24	50%	7/14
5 or more	21%	5/24	36%	5/14
10 or more	0%	0/24	14%	2/14
15 or more	0%	0/24	0%	0/14
20 or more	0%	0/24	0%	0/14

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Peliwo	Honda
W-L	16–12	6–9
Avg odds	3.03	2.48
ROI %	+41.0%	-7.8%
Units P/L	+11.48u	-1.18u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Peliwo	Honda
Countries	1	1
Events	1	1
Matches	1	1
Distance	0 mi · 0 km	0 mi · 0 km
Route	CHN	CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Peliwo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Honda's 40%).

Opponent	Peliwo	Honda
Kristjan Tamm	W 76 61	L 67 46
Charles Broom	L 16 16	L 36 46
Filip Kiryllo	W 61 61	W 61 62
Andreas Scott	W 64 62	W 36 76 63
Guillaume Dalmasso	L 46 57	L 63 36 46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Peliwo

WWLWWWLL

Luca Castelnuovo

Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

76⁵

Oct 26

Saba Purtseladze

Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 25

Mikalai Haliak

M15 Shenzhen · Semifinals

Oct 24

Lin Hao Yu

M15 Shenzhen · Quarterfinals

Oct 23

Xirui Han

M15 Shenzhen · 2nd Round

76⁴

Oct 22

Jordan Chiu

M15 Shenzhen · 1st Round

Oct 21

Yaroslav Demin

M25 Qian Daohu · 1st Round

Oct 14

Timofei Derepasko

Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round

6¹⁰7

Oct 7

Honda

WWLLLLWW

Khumoun Sultanov

Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

Oct 26

Ryuki Matsuda

Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 25

Kasidit Samrej

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 18

Kristjan Tamm

Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6³7

Oct 4

Marat Sharipov

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6¹¹7

Sep 28

Petr Bar Biryukov

Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 17

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 16

Jesse Flores

Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 14

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–69 matches

Metric	Peliwo	Honda
Matches won	46%	56%
Sets won	47%	56%
Games won	48%	52%