Filip Peliwo vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Filip Peliwo and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2025; Filip Peliwo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Peliwo has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Filip Peliwo won at Shanghai (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.23 or shorter, Luca Castelnuovo has won 12 of 14 (86%). That is level with the 88% the price implied.
At 3.82 or longer, Filip Peliwo has won 4 of 32 (13%). The price implied 18%, so Filip Peliwo has fallen 5 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Filip Peliwo and Luca Castelnuovo meet next at the Ningboo Challenger on October 26 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Peliwo | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Filip Peliwo | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 9/36 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 18/67 | 24% | 13/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 9/30 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Peliwo 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Peliwo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Castelnuovo
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,366 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 31, 2025
Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Peliwo | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Filip Peliwo | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 18/24 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 15/24 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 5/24 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 6% | 1/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–12 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.01 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +45.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.69u | +7.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Peliwo's 20%).
| Opponent | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Mikalai Haliak | L 36 36 | W |
| Kuan-Shou Chen | L 36 36 | L 76 67 16 |
| Omar Jasika | L 26 36 | W |
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 26 26 | L |
| Filip Kiryllo | W 61 61 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Saba Purtseladze
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Mikalai Haliak
M15 Shenzhen · Semifinals
Oct 24
Lin Hao Yu
M15 Shenzhen · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Xirui Han
M15 Shenzhen · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Jordan Chiu
M15 Shenzhen · 1st Round
Oct 21
Yaroslav Demin
M25 Qian Daohu · 1st Round
Oct 14
Timofei Derepasko
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Max Purcell
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yusuke Kusuhara
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Khumoun Sultanov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Egor Pleshivtsev
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–68 matches
| Metric | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 55% |
| Sets won | 47% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Peliwo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |