Felipe De Dios vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felipe De Dios and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Covato leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dios has taken 0 sets to Covato's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Covato won at M15 Quito (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | De Dios | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe De Dios | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 23% | 9/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 25% | 15/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 7/12 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 9/24 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (De Dios 0, Covato 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dios
🧱 The Wall
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
M15 Quito
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dios | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe De Dios | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dios | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 4.31 | 5.66 |
| ROI % | -0.2% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.02u | -3.79u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Dios and Covato posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Dios | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Mwendwa Mbithi | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Nicolas Garcia Longo | W 64 75 | L 57 46 |
| Enzo Camargo Lima | L 46 61 36 | L 26 06 |
| Christopher Li | L 67 46 | L 67 60 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Juan Sebastian Gomez
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Jose Pereira
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Tomas Martinez
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Maximo Zeitune
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Mateo Del Pino
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–61 matches
| Metric | Dios | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 36% |
| Sets won | 45% | 39% |
| Games won | 47% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dios | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dios | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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