Federico Cina vs Linang XiaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Federico Cina and Linang Xiao meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cina | Xiao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Cina | Linang Xiao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 25/35 | 100% | 13/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 22/62 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 22/48 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 6/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 81% | 13/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cina
💥 Big Hitter
Xiao
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 918 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Cina and Xiao have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cina | Xiao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Cina | Linang Xiao | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cina | Xiao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 4.70 |
| ROI % | -23.5% | -56.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -3.39u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cina | Xiao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 2,550 mi · 4,104 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Xiao's 50%).
| Opponent | Cina | Xiao |
|---|---|---|
| Kaichi Uchida | W 61 62 | W 63 75 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 57 62 75 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elias Ymer
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
James McCabe
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaichi Uchida
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
James Kent Trotter
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Kaichi Uchida
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Colin Sinclair
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Sep 2
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Xiuyuan Ye
M15 Luan · 1st Round
May 20
Andre Ilagan
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
May 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–65 matches
| Metric | Cina | Xiao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 42% |
| Sets won | 54% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
