Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolò CiavarellaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Federico Arnaboldi
#516 · 26 yrs · R
4w3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇮🇹Niccolò Ciavarella
#1022 · 22 yrs · R
4wFederico Arnaboldi and Niccolò Ciavarella have met 3 times since 2026; Federico Arnaboldi leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Futures 2026 in 2026 on hard. On clay courts Arnaboldi leads 2–0. Arnaboldi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaboldi has taken 6 sets to Ciavarella's 2. Their most recent meeting: Federico Arnaboldi won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 20% | 7/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 54% | 7/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaboldi 1, Ciavarella 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ciavarella
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2026
M15 Bergamo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 1–12 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 3.72 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | -84.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | -11.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaboldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ciavarella's 67%).
| Opponent | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Oradini | W 46 63 64 | L 46 26 |
| Kasra Rahmani | W 75 26 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Lapsansky | W 61 61 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Niccolò Ciavarella
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Sandro Kopp
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Peter Buldorini
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniel Salazar
Cordenons challenger
Jul 12
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · Final
Jun 28
Fausto Tabacco
M15 Bergamo · Semifinals
Jun 27
Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Adrian Andreev
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Raffaele Ciurnelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 20
Maximilian Homberg
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilya Snitari
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Jul 7
Georgii Kravchenko
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Federico Arnaboldi
M15 Bergamo · 1st Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–59 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 26% |
| Sets won | 56% | 30% |
| Games won | 53% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.