Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolò CiavarellaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Federico Arnaboldi
#478 · 26 yrs · R
33 meetings · sets 6–2
🇮🇹Niccolò Ciavarella
#1051 · 22 yrs · R
4wFederico Arnaboldi and Niccolò Ciavarella have met 3 times since 2026; Federico Arnaboldi leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Futures 2026 in 2026 on hard. On clay courts Arnaboldi leads 2–0. Arnaboldi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaboldi has taken 6 sets to Ciavarella's 2. Their most recent meeting: Federico Arnaboldi won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 13/32 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 26/72 | 20% | 8/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 22/44 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 27/40 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaboldi 1, Ciavarella 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ciavarella
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federico Arnaboldi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2026
M15 Bergamo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolò Ciavarella | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 0–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 4.50 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.11u | -7.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 462 mi · 744 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaboldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ciavarella's 33%).
| Opponent | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 63 36 16 | L 57 46 |
| Giovanni Oradini | W 46 63 64 | L 46 26 |
| Kasra Rahmani | W 75 26 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrea De Marchi
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Massimo Giunta
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Iannaccone
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Florian Broska
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Maximilian Marterer
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Stefano D'Agostino
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Francesco Forti
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Andrey Chepelev
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Adrian Andreev
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Raffaele Ciurnelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 20
Maximilian Homberg
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–72 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 23% |
| Sets won | 55% | 28% |
| Games won | 52% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaboldi | Ciavarella |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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