Federico Arnaboldi vs Marvin MoellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Arnaboldi and Marvin Moeller have met 3 times since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Quimper Bretagne Occidentale in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Moeller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaboldi has taken 2 sets to Moeller's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Genoa 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaboldi | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Arnaboldi | Marvin Moeller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 67% | 37/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 13/32 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 26/72 | 33% | 27/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 22/44 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 89% | 47/53 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 27/40 | 70% | 37/53 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaboldi 1, Moeller 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaboldi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Federico Arnaboldi and Marvin Moeller are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
Genoa 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 19, 2026
M25 Trento 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 27, 2026
Open Quimper Bretagne Occidentale
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaboldi | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Arnaboldi | Marvin Moeller | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 10/20 |
| 5 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 13–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | +12.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.11u | +2.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 462 mi · 744 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | ITA | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Arnaboldi and Moeller posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano Travaglia | L 36 36 | W 64 46 62 |
| Mika Petkovic | W 63 36 76 | L 64 46 36 |
| Giovanni Oradini | W 46 63 64 | W 46 64 62 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | W 63 64 | W 62 60 |
| Andrea Guerrieri | L 46 46 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrea De Marchi
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Massimo Giunta
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Svyatoslav Gulin
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Iannaccone
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Florian Broska
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Maximilian Marterer
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–83 matches
| Metric | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 66% |
| Sets won | 55% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaboldi | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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