Federica Urgesi vs Lucija Ciric BagaricPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Federica Urgesi
#275 · 21 yrs
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇭🇷Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#360 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
Federica Urgesi and Lucija Ciric Bagaric have met 2 times since 2026; Federica Urgesi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W35 Birmingham 1 in 2026 on hard. Urgesi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Urgesi has taken 4 sets to Bagaric's 0. Their most recent meeting: Federica Urgesi won at W75 The Hague (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Urgesi | Ciric Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federica Urgesi | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 25/57 | 30% | 15/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 14/25 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 2/10 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 18/33 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Urgesi 2, Ciric Bagaric 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Urgesi
💥 Big Hitter
Bagaric
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federica Urgesi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
W75 The Hague
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 27, 2026
W35 Birmingham 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Urgesi | Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federica Urgesi | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +1.8% | -44.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.32u | -5.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Urgesi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bagaric's 25%).
| Opponent | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Palicova | L 36 62 26 | L 26 46 |
| Francesca Jones | L 62 46 16 | L 57 36 |
| Deborah Chiesa | W 64 62 | L 63 57 06 |
| Maria Toma | W 76 62 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Martha Matoula
W75 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Amelie Van Impe
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 4
Barbora Palicova
W75 Hechingen · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Diana Martynov
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elizara Yaneva
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 20
Francesca Jones
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 13
Elena Milovanovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 25
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rachel Gailis
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federica Urgesi
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 7
Maria Toma
W35 Tarvisio · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Deborah Chiesa
W35 Tarvisio · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–57 matches
| Metric | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 48% |
| Sets won | 54% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Urgesi | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.