Federica Urgesi vs Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federica Urgesi and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur have met 1 time since 2026; Federica Urgesi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Urgesi has taken 2 sets to Steur's 1. Their most recent meeting: Federica Urgesi won at Bundesliga - women (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Urgesi | Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federica Urgesi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 89% | 41/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 25/57 | 19% | 13/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 14/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 2/10 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 94% | 44/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 18/33 | 87% | 41/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Urgesi 0, Lilly Sophie Steur 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Urgesi
💥 Big Hitter
Steur
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federica Urgesi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Bundesliga - women
C Clay · -
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Urgesi | Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federica Urgesi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | +1.8% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.32u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 10 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | SVK → POR → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Urgesi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Steur's 29%).
| Opponent | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | W 63 60 | W 60 61 |
| Kateryna Diatlova | W 75 61 | W 76 61 |
| Barbora Palicova | L 36 62 26 | L 06 26 |
| Deborah Chiesa | W 64 62 | L 26 63 46 |
| Eva Guerrero Alvarez | L 26 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Dune Vaissaud | W 63 61 | L 36 36 |
| Alba Rey Garcia | W 62 36 62 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Martha Matoula
W75 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Amelie Van Impe
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 4
Barbora Palicova
W75 Hechingen · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Diana Martynov
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elizara Yaneva
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 20
Francesca Jones
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 13
Francesca Pace
W50 Oldenzaal · Semifinals
Aug 29
Amandine Monnot
W50 Oldenzaal · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Valentina Steiner
W35 Erwitte · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W35 Erwitte · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Milena Steinkamp
W35 Erwitte · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Ruth Roura Llaverias
W35 Erwitte · 1st Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–68 matches
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 68% |
| Sets won | 54% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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