Federica Urgesi vs Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Federica Urgesi
#264 · 21 yrs
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇩🇪Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
#283 · 22 yrs
5TitleFederica Urgesi and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur have met 1 time since 2026; Federica Urgesi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Urgesi has taken 2 sets to Steur's 1. Their most recent meeting: Federica Urgesi won at Bundesliga - women (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Urgesi | Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federica Urgesi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 26/40 | 87% | 47/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 12/26 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 26/66 | 21% | 16/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 11% | 1/9 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 93% | 53/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 26/41 | 82% | 47/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Urgesi 0, Lilly Sophie Steur 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Urgesi
💥 Big Hitter
Steur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federica Urgesi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Bundesliga - women
C Clay · -
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Urgesi | Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federica Urgesi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 39% | 10/26 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/26 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | -2.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.60u | -0.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 11 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → AUT | DEN → BIH → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Urgesi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Steur's 50%).
| Opponent | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandra Mazzola | W 64 36 61 | W 64 63 |
| Clara Burel | L 46 67 | L 16 46 |
| Oceane Babel | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Lia Karatancheva | W 60 62 | W 61 16 64 |
| Dalila Jakupovic | W | L 57 36 |
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | W 63 60 | W 60 61 |
| Kateryna Diatlova | W 75 61 | W 76 61 |
| Barbora Palicova | L 36 62 26 | L 06 26 |
| Deborah Chiesa | W 64 62 | L 26 63 46 |
| Dune Vaissaud | W 63 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iva Ivanova
W50 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Angela Fita Boluda
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 21
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Clara Burel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Semifinals
Sep 5
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Oceane Babel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Lia Karatancheva
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Lisa Zaar
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Maria Andrienko
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clara Burel
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–76 matches
| Metric | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 71% |
| Sets won | 58% | 70% |
| Games won | 55% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Urgesi | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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