Federica Trevisan vs Noemi MainesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W15 Fiano Romano
- Level
- ITF W15
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 6 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.81 or longer, Noemi Maines has won 8 of 21 (38%). The price implied 25%, so Noemi Maines has beaten it by 13 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Federica Trevisan and Noemi Maines meet in the final of the W15 Fiano Romano on clay on September 6. Neither player has faced the other before. Trevisan is unranked; Maines sits at number 709.
Both players arrive in strong form. Trevisan has won four straight matches and posted a 70% win rate on clay across a larger sample. Maines has also won her last four and compiled a 55% record on the surface over the same span. Each player won 7 of her last 10 matches, and both played six and four matches respectively in the past two weeks, so conditioning should not be a differentiating factor heading into Sunday.
Trevisan operates as a counterpuncher who thrives off opponent mistakes and builds points through returns. Maines brings relentless pressure from the baseline and sustains long rallies. On clay, Trevisan's reactive game and Maines's consistency have both produced results at roughly the same clip. The final will hinge on whether Trevisan can neutralize Maines's pace and control the points she initiates, or whether Maines can force the pace and run down Trevisan's counterattacking angles.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Trevisan | Maines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federica Trevisan | Noemi Maines | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 11/18 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 2/7 | 17% | 4/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 9/25 | 34% | 18/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 83% | 5/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Trevisan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maines
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,001 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Trevisan and Maines have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Trevisan | Maines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federica Trevisan | Noemi Maines | ||
| 1 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Trevisan | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +48.5% | +8.6% |
| Units P/L | +8.24u | +1.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Trevisan | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → POR → CZE | AUT → CZE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Trevisan and Maines posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Trevisan | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Noemi Basiletti | L 16 46 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesca Gandolfi
W15 Fiano Romano · Semifinals
Sep 5
Paula Ormaechea
W15 Fiano Romano · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Anne Schaefer
W15 Fiano Romano · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Veronika Kulhava
W15 Fiano Romano · 1st Round
Sep 2
Valentina Steiner
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 24
Ana Grubor
W35 Verbier · 1st Round
Aug 18
Alja Senica
W15 Rogaska Slatina · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Agnese Gentili
W15 Fiano Romano · Semifinals
Sep 5
Carolina Gasparini
W15 Fiano Romano · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Fiano Romano · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Maddalena Giordano
W15 Fiano Romano · 1st Round
Sep 1
Ilay Yoruk
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Aug 11
Demi Tran
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Kristina Novak
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · Semifinals
Jul 25
Anna Shkutova
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–53 matches
| Metric | Trevisan | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 43% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |