Fausto Tabacco vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฎ๐นFausto Tabacco
#470 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
31 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ฎ๐นMatteo Covato
#742 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
3Fausto Tabacco and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Fausto Tabacco leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Tabacco has taken 2 sets to Covato's 1. Their most recent meeting: Fausto Tabacco won at Como Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabacco | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fausto Tabacco | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 33/54 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 23% | 9/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 31/82 | 25% | 15/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 17/42 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 22/33 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 39/43 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabacco 0, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabacco
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Covato
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
Como Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabacco | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fausto Tabacco | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ6 | 4โ10 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 5.66 |
| ROI % | +12.9% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.32u | -3.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POR | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tabacco has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Covato's 0%).
| Opponent | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Izan Almazan Valiente | W 64 61 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Rincon
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jack Anthrop
M25 Setubal ยท 1st Round
Sep 23
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra ยท Final
Sep 20
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Sintra ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ82 matches
| Metric | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 36% |
| Sets won | 61% | 39% |
| Games won | 55% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabacco | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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